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Strengthening of dollar, sprognozirovannoe before experts, develops more high rates

For the last month the course of euro sharply went down and appeared in an area 1,49 dollar after an euro ("Foreks a club" forecast achieving this mark to September of this year).

Growth of dollar began a month ago and since a dollar won back at common European currency already 7% from 1,6038 (registered maximum) to 1,4900 (in a certain moment a price fell to 1,4880) - it minimum for the last six months. The index of dollar (course of dollar, expected in relation to a basket from 6 world currencies) was strengthened to the March minimum on 7,7%.

The sharp decline of markets of commodities, including oils, golds and etc, began So, oil for the last four weeks went down in a cost on 23% (from 147 to 114 dollars for a barrel are easily soiled Light). Natural gas lost an about 40% cost for a month. Price on a wheat and rice also went down considerably - 42,8 and 35% accordingly (as compared to maximums of this year). A price on gold fell down on 20% (in relation to the March maximum).

Ot the consequences of crisis the American jars and companies suffered not only. European tsentrobank was underestimated by a possible slump in an economy, retaining interest rates at tom pretty high level. Guidance of ETSB to the last heaved up with liberalization of credit and monetary policy and the first signs of deceleration of economy of euroarea caused the considerable falling of currency.

On the prognoses of analysts of "Foreks of club", the decline of quotations of basic currencies against the dollar of the USA will proceed to the end of current year, in particular course the euro/dollar of the USA will attain a range 1,4350-1,4400 (at the existent course of dollar of euro on the course of NBU it will cost 6,95-7,00 UAH). Oil is stabilized in a range 100-109 dollars for a barrel (in Ukraine 5,45-5,90 UAH will correspond this price./e 95th petrol). World prices on commodities will continue to go down, instrumental in deceleration of world inflation rates. Gold already went down in a price on 20% and will attain 730 dollars after tr. ounce (3715 UAH./o?. an ounce is in Ukraine).

"Strengthening of dollar, sprognozirovannoe before the experts of "Foreks of club", develops more high rates. Situation in the world currency market now changed sharply. Practically all basic central jars declared about passing to the neutral monetary policy or even preparation to the decline of interest rates, - the leading analyst of informatsionno-analiticheskogo center Alex Paliy is convinced.

In same queue, investors expect ot FRS SSHA the increase of interest rates already this year. Displacement of accents in expectations of change of interest rates now renders substantial support American currency. On itself a price-cutting on food and energoresursy considerably will slow down world inflation".

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