|
The dollar of the USA loses status of international key currency - economists warn about it. The sharp weakening of course of dollar blew up a trust to him.
Новости России, бизнеса, спорта, науки на snpld.ru
In 2007 year of position of the American dollar as international key currency rocked. The particle of dollar in world currency supplies in the third quarter of 2007 fell down to the record low level, abbreviated from 65% to 63,8%. In toy time the particle of euro was multiplied from 25,5 to 26,4%, the particle of the Britannic sterling of pound was also multiplied from 4,6% to 4,7%.
In 2008 year experts forecast the yet greater decline of particle of the American dollar. The era of dollar can not last one hundred years. Counting out of her can be conducted from the beginning of the first world war. To it from 1820th a gold standard governed in the world, and actual key currency was a sterling of pound, that freely and without limitations trucked for a precious metal. But in 1914 years of country of North and Latin America formed a dollar area. The final change of leader took place in 1931 year, when panic at the financial market of London moved away a pound on the second plan. Interestingly, that panic was caused by Large depression in the USA. An agreement which took effect in 1945 year fastened dominating position of American currency of Bretton-vudska.
An agreement confirmed a dollar standard, tying currencies of 44 countries against US the dollar, and dollar - to gold in a proportion $35 for a troysku ounce
Completion of era of dollar was foreseen and before - actually during every serious weakening of course: at the end of 1970th, in 1985-88 years, in 1993-95 years. In this time dropped off often, that status of currency as reserve did not depend straight on its exchange rate. A main task of national reserve is providing of trust to own currency of country, accordingly, currency of reserve is guilty easily to be converted, that in a crisis situation to become the source of liquidity. The dollar of the USA answers this requirement while, as used at the large liquid capital markets. True, undesirable, that the accumulations of countries depreciated, the sharp falling of course does not greet that is why.
The nearest pursuer of dollar is an euro. He is "supported" by the economy of ES, whose current account is balanced, and dependence less, than in the USA on the import of oil. From other side, course of euro, which grows, already causes complication for the European commodity producers, that does medium-term prognoses for the economy of ES not too optimistic. In addition, did not understand, whether tsentrobanki will begin to trust such young currency. That is why, probably, a few currencies - euros, Chinese yuan, Japanese yen will be able to displace a dollar only.
Consider the multicurrency system the real alternative of dollar hegemony of analytic geometry. A "main accent in the nearest 5 years will be become by the substantial change of structure of backlogs in which will be increased, above all things, particle of euro and, probably, other currencies", - talks Trifonov. |